Tuesday’s game features the Pittsburgh Pirates (68-76) and the Miami Marlins (54-90) facing off at PNC Park in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Pirates according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 10.

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Pirates vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Pirates vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -148 +124 8.5 -118 -102

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 33, or 55.9%, of the 59 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Pirates have a mark of 10-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 70 of 144 chances this season.
  • The Pirates went 4-4 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has a 50-76 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.7% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Marlins have gone 27-50 (35.1%).
  • In the 144 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-61-6).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won eight of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.

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Pirates vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski

  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 31 games this season with a 3.73 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .238.
  • Carmen Mlodzinski’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Mlodzinski’s team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Mlodzinski has started this season hit the over one time in three chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Adam Oller

  • In four games this season, the 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.15, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .182 against him.
  • The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in four of Oller’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
  • In Oller’s four starts, his team is 1-3.
  • Adam Oller has had four starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those matchups.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 68-76
Home 35-38
Road 33-38
One-Run Games 22-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 43-18

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-90
Home 28-47
Road 26-43
One-Run Games 22-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-17

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