Predictions for Phillies vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 10
Tuesday’s contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (86-58) and Tampa Bay Rays (71-73) matching up at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will start at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 10.
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Phillies vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, September 10, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Rays 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
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Phillies vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -170 | +142 | 7 | -138 | +106 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has come away with 71 wins in the 113 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 41 times in 57 chances when named as a favorite of at least -170 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 67 of 144 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies were favored on the moneyline for 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 9-3 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has been the moneyline underdog 77 total times this season. It has finished 34-43 in those games.
- The Rays are 4-7 (winning just 36.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +142 or longer.
- Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 64 times this season for a 64-74-6 record against the over/under.
- The Rays have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- The 29-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with a 2.90 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .225.
- Ranger Suarez’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-6).
- Suarez’s team has won 16 of his 23 starts this season.
- Out of Suarez’s 23 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley
- The 23-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.40, with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 21 games this season. Opposing batters have a .234 batting average against him.
- The Rays have a 5-7 record in Bradley’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Bradley’s team has won 10 of his 21 starts.
- Taj Bradley has started 21 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-58 |
| Home | 48-25 |
| Road | 38-33 |
| One-Run Games | 21-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 60-11 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 71-73 |
| Home | 37-38 |
| Road | 34-35 |
| One-Run Games | 26-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-8 |
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