NBA Best Bets: Bucks vs. Hawks Picks for March 4

The Milwaukee Bucks (34-25) take the court against the Atlanta Hawks (28-33) as 5.5-point favorites on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSE and FDSWI.
Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game can assist you in placing an informed wager utilizing the best bets available.
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Bucks vs. Hawks Game Info
- When: Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE and FDSWI
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Bucks vs. Hawks Best Bets
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 30.5 PTS
- The 30.5 points prop bet set for Giannis Antetokounmpo on Tuesday is 0.4 fewer points than his scoring average on the season (30.9).
- Antetokounmpo has hit the over 25 times on a points prop this season (in 47 tries).
- The Bucks are at the 13th spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (114.4 points per game), while the Hawks concede the 27th-lowest amount of points (119.6 per game).
- Milwaukee has a 21-1 record when finishing with more points than 119.6.
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Trae Young Over 25.5 PTS
- The 25.5-point prop total for Trae Young on Tuesday is 1.9 higher than his season scoring average, which is 23.6.
- Young is 26-for-56 at scoring more than his points prop this season.
- Atlanta is the NBA’s sixth-ranked team offensively (116.9 points per game), while Milwaukee is 12th-ranked on defense (112.5 conceded).
- When scoring more points than 112.5, Atlanta is 22-17.
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Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 5.5)
- Milwaukee has 28 wins in 59 games against the spread this year.
- Atlanta has 29 wins in 61 games against the spread this year.
- As 5.5-point favorites or more, the Bucks are 12-14 against the spread.
- The Hawks have an ATS record of 13-10 as 5.5-point underdogs or more.
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Pick OU:
Under (242.5)
- The Bucks and their opponents have gone over 242.5 combined points in 11 of 59 games this season.
- The Hawks have combined with their opponents to score more than 242.5 points in 22 of 61 games this season.
- Milwaukee has had an average of 227.2 points in its games this season, 15.3 fewer than this matchup’s total.
- The average over/under for Atlanta’s outings this season is 235, 7.5 fewer points than this game’s point total.
- The Bucks are the 20th-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Hawks have scored the fifth-most points.
- The Bucks are the league’s seventh-ranked scoring defense while the Hawks are the 28th-ranked.
Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM
Moneyline Pick: Bucks (-235)
- This season, the Bucks have won 29 out of the 43 games, or 67.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- The Hawks have been underdogs in 41 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (43.9%) in those contests.
- Milwaukee has a record of 17-7, a 70.8% win rate, when it’s favored by -235 or more by bookmakers this season.
- This year, Atlanta has won six of 17 games when listed as at least +195 or better on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Bucks.
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