NBA Best Bets: Grizzlies vs. Hawks Picks for March 3

The Atlanta Hawks (27-33) are 8.5-point underdogs against the Memphis Grizzlies (38-22) at FedExForum on Monday, March 3, 2025. The game tips at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSE.
Our computer predictions for Monday’s game will assist you in making an informed wager taking advantage of the best bets available.
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Grizzlies vs. Hawks Game Info
- When: Monday, March 3, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
- TV: FDSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Grizzlies vs. Hawks Best Bets
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Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 22.5 PTS
- The 23.1 points Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored per game this season is 0.6 more than his prop total set for Monday (22.5).
- Jackson has gone up against a points prop bet in 57 games this season, and he’s exceeded the total 32 times.
- The Grizzlies are the NBA’s highest-scoring team (123.2 points per game), while the Hawks are 27th defensively in terms of points conceded per game (119.5).
- When Memphis puts up more than 119.5 points, its record is 30-5.
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Trae Young Over 25.5 PTS
- The 23.8 points Trae Young scores per game are 1.7 less than his over/under on Monday.
- Young has hit the over on his points prop on 26 occasions this season (in 55 games with such a prop).
- The eighth-ranked scoring NBA team (116.6 points per game) is Atlanta, while Memphis ranks 25th in the league defensively (116.7 conceded per game).
- When scoring more points than 116.7, Atlanta is 20-13.
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Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 8.5)
- Memphis’ record against the spread is 35-25-0.
- Against the spread, Atlanta is 28-32-0 this season.
- The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 8-2 as 8.5-point favorites or more.
- The Hawks’ ATS record as 8.5-point underdogs or more is 6-5.
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Pick OU:
Under (251.5)
- In 14 of 60 games this season, the Grizzlies and their opponents have combined to score more than 251.5 points.
- Hawks games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 251.5 points in 14 of 60 outings.
- The average point total in Memphis’ games this season is 235.7, 15.8 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
- The average total for Atlanta’s games this season is 234.8 points, 16.7 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
- The Grizzlies are the highest scoring team in the NBA this year. The Hawks have scored the ninth-most points.
- The Hawks have allowed the 27th-fewest points in NBA play this season, while the Grizzlies have given up the 22nd-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Grizzlies (-375)
- This season, the Grizzlies have been favored 40 times and won 30, or 75%, of those games.
- The Hawks have come away with 17 wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Memphis has won nine of its 10 games, or 90%, when favored by at least -375 on the moneyline.
- This season, Atlanta has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +300 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Grizzlies have a 78.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
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