Game 5 of the ALCS at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) squaring off against the New York Yankees (94-68) at 8:08 p.m. ET (on Oct. 19). Our computer prediction projects a close 4-3 win for the Guardians, so expect a tight matchup.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: truTV
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Guardians Predictions

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Yankees 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has been the favorite in 139 games this season, and has come away with the win 80 times (57.6%) in those contests.
• This season, the Yankees have been victorious 65 times in 114 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
• Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 90 of 169 chances this season.
• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in each of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-6 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total nine times.

Guardians Betting Insights

• Cleveland has put together a 29-36 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.6% of those games).
• The Guardians are 12-17 (winning 41.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
• Cleveland has played in 170 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-85-10).
• In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Guardians had a record of 2-5.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodón

• The 31-year-old has pitched to a 3.96 ERA this season with 10 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 32 games.
• Carlos Rodon’s team has won 63.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (19-11).
• Rodon’s team has a 20-14 record in his starts this season.
• Games Rodon has started this season hit the over 18 times in 34 chances.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee

• In 31 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.47, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .230 against him.
• The Guardians are 5-4 in Bibee’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Bibee’s team has won 24 of his 31 starts.
• Tanner Bibee has started 34 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 16 of them.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

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