Game 4 of the ALCS at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) squaring off against the New York Yankees (94-68) at 8:08 p.m. ET (on Oct. 18). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Matchup Info

• When: Friday, October 18, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: truTV
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Guardians Predictions

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has won 79, or 57.2%, of the 138 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This season, the Yankees have been victorious 74 times in 128 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 or better on the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have gone over in 89 of 168 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Yankees went 9-6 over the 15 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total nine times.

Guardians Betting Insights

• Cleveland has a 29-35 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45.3% of those games).
• The Guardians are 18-29 (winning only 38.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
• Cleveland has played in 169 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-85-10).
• The Guardians have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
• Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil

• The 26-year-old has pitched in 29 games this season with an ERA of 3.50, a 2.22 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.193.
• Luis Gil’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-9).
• Gil’s team has won 19 of his 29 starts.
• In games Gil has started this season, the teams are 15-14-0 at hitting the over.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams

• The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.86, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opponents have a .246 batting average against him.
• The Guardians have a 2-4 record in Williams’ six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Over Williams’ 16 starts, his team is 4-12.
• Gavin Williams has had 16 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups hit the over.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

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