Game 4 of the NLCS between the New York Mets (89-73) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) at Citi Field is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets taking home the win. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 17.

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Dodgers vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Dodgers vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Dodgers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Dodgers vs. Mets Betting Lines

Dodgers vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Dodgers -135 +114 7 -115 -105

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Dodgers Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles has been the favorite in 149 games this season, and has come away with the win 95 times (63.8%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Dodgers have been victorious 80 times in 124 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 95 of 170 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-3 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Los Angeles and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 46.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (34-39).
  • The Mets have gone 19-12 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer (61.3%).
  • In the 172 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 89 times (89-78-5).
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times.

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Dodgers vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Dodgers’ Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto

  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.00, a 4.77 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.111 in 18 games this season.
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s team has won 65% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (13-7).
  • Yamamoto’s team is 13-7 when he starts this season.
  • In Yamamoto’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.75, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 31 games this season. Opponents are batting .237 against him.
  • The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in 15 of Quintana’s starts this season, and they went 8-7 in those matchups.
  • Quintana’s team has an 18-15 record over his 31 starts.
  • Jose Quintana has had 33 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 13 of those outings.

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Dodgers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 98-64
Home 52-29
Road 46-35
One-Run Games 21-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 74-14

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 89-73
Home 46-35
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 28-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 65-19

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