In Game 4 of the WNBA Finals, the New York Liberty will face the Minnesota Lynx.

Check out below for the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

Liberty vs. Lynx Predictions

Spread: Lynx (+3.5) to Cover

• The data strongly suggests betting on the Lynx in this one. The model favors them while BetMGM has the Liberty favored and the difference between the two is 4.3 points.
• The Lynx are 31-19-0 ATS this season.
• Minnesota is 9-4 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
• The Liberty’s ATS record is 23-26-0 this season.
• In games this season it was favored by 3.5 points or more, New York has a 17-24 record against the spread.

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Total: Over 160.5

• BetMGM and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.8 points of each other.
• Out of 49 games thus far this season, the Liberty have played 27 with more than 160.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total.
• Minnesota has played in 24 games this season (48% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 160.5 points.
• A total of 23 of the Liberty’s 50 games with a set total have hit the over (46%).
• The teams have hit the over in 22 of the Lynx’s 50 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Lynx (+125)

• Prediction: Lynx 81, Liberty 80
• Minnesota has entered the game as the underdog 19 times this season and won 12, or 63.2%, of those games.

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Where to Watch Liberty vs. Lynx: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Friday, October 18, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Liberty Leaders

• The Liberty scoring leader is Breanna Stewart, who averages 20.4 per contest to go with 8.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists.
• Jonquel Jones is New York’s leading rebounder, grabbing nine per game, while Sabrina Ionescu is its best passer, distributing 6.2 assists in each contest.
• The Liberty get the most three-point shooting production out of Ionescu, who makes 2.8 threes per game.
• Stewart is New York’s leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Jones leads them in blocks with 1.3 per contest.

Lynx Leaders

• Napheesa Collier holds the top spot on the Lynx leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 20.4 points and 9.7 rebounds per game.
• Courtney Williams’ assist statline paces Minnesota; she records 5.5 assists per game.
• Kayla McBride averages 2.7 three-pointers per game, the most on the Lynx.
• Minnesota’s leader in steals is Collier with 1.9 per game, and its leader in blocks is Alanna Smith with 1.5 per game.

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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