Game 3 of the ALCS between the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) and the New York Yankees (94-68) at Progressive Field is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Guardians securing the victory. First pitch is at 5:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 17.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, October 17, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: truTV
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Guardians Predictions

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has won 79, or 57.7%, of the 137 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This year, the Yankees have won 79 of 137 games when listed as at least -112 or better on the moneyline.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 88 of 167 opportunities.
• The Yankees had a 10-5 record in the 15 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

• Cleveland has won 28 of the 63 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (44.4%).
• The Guardians have a 25-34 record (winning 42.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -108 or longer.
• Cleveland has played in 168 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-85-10).
• The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and went 2-4 in those contests.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Clarke Schmidt

• The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 2.85 ERA and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .230.
• Clarke Schmidt’s team has been victorious in 76.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-3.
• Schmidt’s team is 12-5 when he starts this season.
• Out of Schmidt’s 17 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd

• The 33-year-old has a 2.72 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings over eight games this season, while giving up a batting average of .213 to opposing hitters.
• The Guardians are 4-1 in Boyd’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Boyd’s team has put together a 7-3 record in his eight starts.
• Matthew Boyd has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those outings.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

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