Predictions for Dodgers vs. Mets Game 3: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Oct. 16
Game 3 of the NLCS at Citi Field has the New York Mets (89-73) matching up with the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) at 8:08 p.m. ET (on Oct. 16). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 win for the Mets, so it should be a tight matchup.
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Dodgers vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, October 16, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Dodgers vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 6, Dodgers 5
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Dodgers vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -112 | -108 | 7.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Dodgers Betting Insights
- Los Angeles has come away with 94 wins in the 148 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Dodgers have come away with a win 94 times in 148 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 or better on the moneyline.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 94 of 169 opportunities.
- The Dodgers had an 8-4 record in the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Los Angeles and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has gone 34-38 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.2% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Mets have a 32-34 record (winning 48.5% of their games).
- New York has played in 171 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 88 times (88-78-5).
- The Mets have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents are 9-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Dodgers vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Dodgers’ Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler
- The 30-year-old has pitched to a 5.38 ERA this season with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 16 games.
- Walker Buehler’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-6.
- Buehler’s team has won nine of his 16 starts this season.
- Out of Buehler’s 17 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino
- The 30-year-old has put together a 3.91 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings during 31 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .243 to opposing hitters.
- The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in 14 of Severino’s starts this season, and they went 4-10 in those matchups.
- Severino’s team has compiled a 16-17 record in his 31 starts.
- Luis Severino has started 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 19 of them.
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Dodgers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 98-64 |
| Home | 52-29 |
| Road | 46-35 |
| One-Run Games | 21-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 73-14 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 89-73 |
| Home | 46-35 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 28-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 65-19 |
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