Game 1 of the ALCS that pits the New York Yankees (94-68) against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) at Yankee Stadium should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. First pitch is at 7:38 p.m. ET on Oct. 14.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Matchup Info

• When: Monday, October 14, 2024 at 7:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: TBS
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Guardians Predictions

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has won 77, or 57%, of the 135 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This year, the Yankees have won 42 of 66 games when listed as at least -166 or better on the moneyline.
• Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 87 of 165 chances this season.
• The Yankees went 9-5 across the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

• Cleveland has been the underdog on the moneyline 61 total times this season. It has finished 28-33 in those games.
• The Guardians have gone 5-7 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer (41.7%).
• Cleveland has had an over/under set by bookmakers 166 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 72 of those games (72-84-10).
• The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodón

• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.96, a 3.42 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.223 in 32 games this season.
• Carlos Rodon’s team has been victorious in 62.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 18-11.
• Rodon’s team has won 19 of his 32 starts.
• Games started by Rodon have an 18-13-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Alex Cobb

• In three games this season, the 37-year-old has put up a 2.76 ERA and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .241 to opposing batters.
• The Guardians have not been a moneyline underdog when Alex Cobb starts this season.
• Cobb’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
• Cobb has had four starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and one of those matchups hit the over.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

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