Game 5 of the ALDS between the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) and the Detroit Tigers (86-76) at Progressive Field should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Guardians taking home the win. First pitch is at 1:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 12.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 1:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: Max
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Tigers 3
• Total Prediction: Over 6 runs

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Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines

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Tigers Betting Insights

• Detroit has been chosen as the favorite in 66 games this year, and has walked away with the win 39 times (59.1%) in those games.
• The Tigers have a win-loss record of 35-27 when favored by -115 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 81 of 166 opportunities.
• The Tigers were the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 outings, Detroit and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

• Cleveland has gone 27-33 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45% of those games).
• The Guardians have a record of 21-31 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer (40.4%).
• In the 165 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-84-10).
• In four games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Guardians had a record of 2-2.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal

• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.39 and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .201 in 31 games this season.
• Tarik Skubal’s team is 18-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Skubal’s team has won 23 of his 31 starts this season.
• In games Skubal has started this season, the teams are 18-15-0 at hitting the over.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd

• The 33-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.72, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings in eight games this season. Opponents have a .213 batting average against him.
• The Guardians are 3-1 in Boyd’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• In Boyd’s eight starts, his team is 6-3.
• Matthew Boyd has started nine contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.

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Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

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