Game 4 of the ALDS at Kauffman Stadium has the Kansas City Royals (86-76) matching up with the New York Yankees (94-68) at 8:08 p.m. ET (on Oct. 10). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Royals, so expect a tight matchup.

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Yankees vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Yankees 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Royals Betting Lines

Yankees vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -155 +130 8 -105 -115

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 76, or 56.7%, of the 134 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Yankees have a mark of 46-32 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -155 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 87 of 164 chances this season.
  • The Yankees went 9-5 over the 14 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has won 45.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (38-46).
  • The Royals have an 8-18 record (winning only 30.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
  • Kansas City has combined with opponents to go over the total 70 times this season for a 70-91-6 record against the over/under.
  • In nine games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Royals had a record of 4-5.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Kansas City and its opponents are 3-12-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Gerrit Cole

  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with a 3.41 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .220.
  • Gerrit Cole’s team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-6.
  • Cole’s team is 11-7 when he starts this season.
  • In games Cole has started this season, the teams are 8-9-0 at hitting the over.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha

  • In 29 games this season, the 33-year-old has a 3.35 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .246 to opposing batters.
  • The Royals have a 6-8 record in Wacha’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Wacha’s team has a 17-13 record in his 29 starts.
  • Wacha’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 13 of 30 contests.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 94-68
Home 44-37
Road 50-31
One-Run Games 21-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 70-13

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 86-76
Home 45-36
Road 41-40
One-Run Games 19-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-21

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