Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers Game 4: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Oct. 10
Game 4 of the ALDS between the Detroit Tigers (86-76) and the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) at Comerica Park should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Tigers taking home the win. Game time is at 6:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 10.
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Guardians vs. Tigers Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, October 10, 2024 at 6:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: Max
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Guardians vs. Tigers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -125 | +105 | 6.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has been victorious in 65, or 63.1%, of the 103 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Guardians have won 52 of 78 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 70 of 164 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Guardians went 5-5 across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the total three times.
Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has won 49 of the 98 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
- The Tigers are 31-40 (winning 43.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
- Detroit has played in 165 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 80 times (80-79-6).
- The Tigers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Detroit and its opponents are 4-10-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Guardians vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- The 25-year-old has pitched in 31 games this season with an ERA of 3.47, a 4.25 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.117.
- Tanner Bibee’s team is 18-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bibee’s team has a 23-9 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Bibee’s 32 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Reese Olson
- In 22 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.53, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .238 against him.
- The Tigers are 6-7 in Olson’s 13 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Olson’s team has a 9-13 record in his starts this season.
- Reese Olson has started 22 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.
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Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-69 |
| Home | 50-30 |
| Road | 42-39 |
| One-Run Games | 26-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 67-9 |
Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-76 |
| Home | 43-38 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 32-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-10 |
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