The New York Liberty will go up against the Minnesota Lynx in Game 1 of the WNBA Finals.

Our computer predictions for Thursday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

Liberty vs. Lynx Predictions

Spread: Lynx (+6.5) to Cover

• The model favors the Liberty by 4.5 points, just two less than the 6.5-point spread set by BetMGM.
• The Lynx have a 29-18-0 record against the spread this year.
• Minnesota has a 4-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season.
• The Liberty are 22-24-0 against the spread this season.
• In games it has played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, New York is 12-18 against the spread.

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Total: Over 160.5

• The model’s predicted total (161.2 points) and the BetMGM set total (160.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
• The Liberty have played 26 games with more than 160.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, this year.
• This season, 23 of Minnesota’s 47 games have had a combined total of more than 160.5 points scored.
• In the Liberty’s 47 games with a set total, 22 have hit the over (46.8%).
• Lynx games have gone over the point total in 21 out of 47 opportunities (44.7%).

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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-275)

• Prediction: Liberty 83, Lynx 78
• New York has won 33 of the 41 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (80.5%).

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Where to Watch Liberty vs. Lynx: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Thursday, October 10, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Liberty Leaders

• Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring, tallying 20.4 points per game to go with 8.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists.
• New York’s leading rebounder is Jonquel Jones averaging 9.0 boards per game and its best passer is Sabrina Ionescu and her 6.2 assists per game.
• Ionescu leads the Liberty in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
• The New York steals leader is Stewart, who averages 1.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Jones, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.

Lynx Leaders

• Napheesa Collier collects 20.4 points and 9.7 rebounds per game for the Lynx, enough to make her the leading scorer and rebounder on the team.
• Minnesota’s assist leader is Courtney Williams with 5.5 per game. She also scores 11.1 points per game and adds 4.7 rebounds per game.
• Kayla McBride hits 2.7 three-pointers per game, the most on the Lynx.
• Minnesota’s leader in steals is Collier (1.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Alanna Smith (1.5 per game).

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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