Game 3 of the ALDS at Kauffman Stadium has the Kansas City Royals (86-76) going head to head against the New York Yankees (94-68) at 7:08 p.m. ET (on Oct. 9). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Royals, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Yankees vs. Royals Matchup Info

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: TBS
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Royals Predictions

• Score Prediction: Royals 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Royals Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has come away with 75 wins in the 133 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
• The Yankees have a win-loss record of 74-57 when favored by -115 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• New York and its opponents have gone over in 87 of 163 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Yankees went 9-5 over the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.

Royals Betting Insights

• Kansas City has gone 38-45 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.8% of those games).
• The Royals are 33-42 (winning 44% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
• Kansas City has had an over/under set by bookmakers 166 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-90-6).
• The Royals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
• Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Clarke Schmidt

• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.85 and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .230 in 16 games this season.
• Clarke Schmidt’s team is 9-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Schmidt’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts.
• In Schmidt’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

• During 33 games this season, the 34-year-old has a 3.00 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .229 to his opponents.
• The Royals have been the moneyline underdog in 15 of Lugo’s starts this season, and they went 8-7 in those games.
• Lugo’s team has put together an 18-16 record in his 33 starts.
• Seth Lugo has had 34 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 11 of those matchups.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Royals’ 2024 Performance

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