Predictions for Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Oct. 9
Game 3 of the ALDS that pits the Detroit Tigers (86-76) versus the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) at Comerica Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Tigers. First pitch is at 3:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 9.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions
- Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
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Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -115 | -105 | 7 | -112 | -108 |
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Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has been chosen as the favorite in 66 games this year, and has walked away with the win 39 times (59.1%) in those games.
- This season, the Tigers have been victorious 35 times in 62 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of 164 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Tigers were favored on the moneyline for eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-2 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Detroit and its opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has put together a 27-33 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Guardians have gone 21-31 (40.4%).
- Cleveland has had an over/under set by bookmakers 163 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-83-10).
- The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 3-12-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.76, a 2.48 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.332 in 19 games this season.
- Keider Montero’s team has a record of 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Montero’s team is 10-6 when he starts this season.
- Out of Montero’s 16 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Alex Cobb
- The 37-year-old has an ERA of 2.76, with 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .241 batting average against him.
- The Guardians have not been a moneyline underdog when Alex Cobb starts this season.
- Over Cobb’s three starts, his team is 2-1.
- Cobb has had three starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in one of those games.
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Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-76 |
| Home | 43-38 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 32-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-10 |
Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-69 |
| Home | 50-30 |
| Road | 42-39 |
| One-Run Games | 26-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 67-9 |
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