Game 3 of the ALDS that pits the Detroit Tigers (86-76) versus the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) at Comerica Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Tigers. First pitch is at 3:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 9.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Tigers vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Tigers -115 -105 7 -112 -108

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • Detroit has been chosen as the favorite in 66 games this year, and has walked away with the win 39 times (59.1%) in those games.
  • This season, the Tigers have been victorious 35 times in 62 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of 164 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Tigers were favored on the moneyline for eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Detroit and its opponents combined to go over the run total four times.

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has put together a 27-33 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Guardians have gone 21-31 (40.4%).
  • Cleveland has had an over/under set by bookmakers 163 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-83-10).
  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 3-12-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.76, a 2.48 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.332 in 19 games this season.
  • Keider Montero’s team has a record of 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Montero’s team is 10-6 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Montero’s 16 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Alex Cobb

  • The 37-year-old has an ERA of 2.76, with 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .241 batting average against him.
  • The Guardians have not been a moneyline underdog when Alex Cobb starts this season.
  • Over Cobb’s three starts, his team is 2-1.
  • Cobb has had three starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in one of those games.

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Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 86-76
Home 43-38
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 32-24
Scoring 5+ Runs 54-10

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 92-69
Home 50-30
Road 42-39
One-Run Games 26-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 67-9

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