Game 4 of the NLDS between the New York Mets (89-73) and Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) going head to head at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 5:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 9.

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Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Info

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Mets vs. Phillies Predictions

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Phillies Betting Lines

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Mets Betting Insights

• New York has won 59, or 61.5%, of the 96 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This year, the Mets have won 47 of 75 games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 86 of 168 opportunities.
• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in three of their past 15 games, and they finished 2-1 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).

Phillies Betting Insights

• Philadelphia has won 14 of the 33 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (42.4%).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Phillies have gone 7-11 (38.9%).
• Philadelphia has played in 165 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 82 times (82-76-7).
• In three games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Phillies had a record of 0-3.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over 12 times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.75, a 2.14 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.250 in 31 games this season.
• Jose Quintana’s team is 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Quintana’s team has won 17 of his 31 starts this season.
• Games Quintana has started this season hit the over 13 times in 32 chances.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez

• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.46, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 27 games this season. Opponents are batting .243 against him.
• The Phillies have a 4-2 record in Suarez’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Suarez’s team has won 17 of his 27 starts.
• Suarez’s starts went over the run total 12 times in 27 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

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