Game 3 of the NLDS between the New York Mets (89-73) and Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) squaring off at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will start at 5:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 8.

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Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Mets vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Mets vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
PUSH -110 -110 7 -102 -118

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 59, or 61.5%, of the 96 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 59-38 when favored by -110 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 85 of 167 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets had a 3-1 record across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total nine times.

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has won 14 of the 33 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (42.4%).
  • The Phillies have gone 14-19 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -110 or longer (42.4%).
  • Philadelphia has played in 164 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 81 times (81-76-7).
  • The Phillies have played as underdogs three times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 11-3-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 32 games this season with a 3.47 ERA and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .202.
  • Sean Manaea’s team is 16-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Manaea’s team is 23-10 when he starts this season.
  • In games Manaea has started this season, the teams are 17-15-1 at hitting the over.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • In 33 games this season, the 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.57, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
  • The Phillies have a 1-5 record in Nola’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Nola’s team has won 21 of his 33 starts.
  • Aaron Nola has had 33 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 17 of those outings.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 89-73
Home 46-35
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 28-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 63-19

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 95-67
Home 54-27
Road 41-40
One-Run Games 24-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 68-12

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