Game 2 of the NLDS that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) against the New York Mets (89-73) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. Game time is at 4:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 6.

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Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Mets Betting Lines

Phillies vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -142 +120 8.5 -102 -118

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been victorious in 80, or 62%, of the 129 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Phillies have been victorious 60 times in 93 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 80 of 163 opportunities.
  • The Phillies went 6-6 over the 12 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the total 10 times (all 15 games had set totals).

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 47.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (33-36).
  • The Mets have a 14-9 record (winning 60.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 84 times this season for an 84-77-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Phillies vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez

  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.32 ERA this season with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 31 games.
  • Cristopher Sanchez’s team has a record of 16-12 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Sanchez’s team has won 18 of his 31 starts.
  • Games started by Sanchez have a 13-16-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • In 31 games this season, the 30-year-old has amassed a 3.91 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .243 to opposing batters.
  • The Mets have a 4-9 record in Severino’s 13 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Severino’s 31 starts, his team is 16-16.
  • Severino’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 18 of 32 games.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 95-67
Home 54-27
Road 41-40
One-Run Games 23-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 67-12

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 89-73
Home 46-35
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 28-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 63-18

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