The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty are facing off in the WNBA playoffs semifinals, with Game 4 next to come.

Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Sunday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.

Aces vs. Liberty Predictions

Spread: Liberty (+3.5) to Cover

• The model favors the Aces by 1.1 points, just 2.4 less than the 3.5-point spread set by BetMGM.
• The Liberty’s ATS record is 21-24-0 this season.
• When it has played as at least a 3.5-point underdog this year, New York is 1-1 against the spread.
• The Aces are 22-23-0 ATS this season.
• Las Vegas is 18-20 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 166.5

• In this game, the model projects a total (165 points) a little lower than the BetMGM over/under (166.5 points).
• The Aces and their opponent have combined to score over 166.5 points, the current matchup’s total, in 21 of 45 games this season.
• New York’s games have gone over 166.5 total points scored in 21 of 45 total matchups this season.
• Out of the Aces’ 45 games with a set total, 20 have hit the over (44.4%).
• The Liberty have hit the over in 22 of their 45 games with a set total (48.9%).

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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-155)

• Prediction: Aces 83, Liberty 82
• Las Vegas has compiled a 29-12 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 70.7% of those games).

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Where to Watch Aces vs. Liberty: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
• Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
• TV Channel: ABC
• Live Stream: Fubo

Aces Leaders

• The Aces leader in points and rebounds is A’ja Wilson, who scores 26.9 points and pulls down 11.9 boards per game.
• Jackie Young leads Las Vegas in assists, averaging 5.3 per game while also scoring 15.8 points per contest.
• The Aces get the most three-point shooting production out of Kelsey Plum, who knocks down 2.9 threes per game.
• The Las Vegas leader in both steals and blocks is Wilson, who averages 1.8 takeaways and 2.6 rejections per game.

Liberty Leaders

• Breanna Stewart is at the top of the Liberty scoring leaderboard with 20.4 points per game. She also pulls down 8.5 rebounds and dishes out 3.5 assists per game.
• New York’s leader in rebounds is Jonquel Jones with nine per game, and its leader in assists is Sabrina Ionescu with 6.2 per game.
• Ionescu is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Liberty, hitting 2.8 threes per game.
• New York’s leader in steals is Stewart (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Jones (1.3 per game).

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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