Game 1 of the ALDS that pits the New York Yankees (94-68) versus the Kansas City Royals (86-76) at Yankee Stadium has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. First pitch is at 6:38 p.m. ET on Oct. 5.

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Yankees vs. Royals Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 6:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Max
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Royals Predictions

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Royals Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has won 74, or 56.5%, of the 131 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This year, the Yankees have won 18 of 30 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of 161 opportunities.
• The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-5 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total eight times.

Royals Betting Insights

• Kansas City has won 45.7% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (37-44).
• The Royals are 2-3 (winning 40% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer.
• Kansas City has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 164 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 69 of those games (69-89-6).
• In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Royals had a record of 3-4.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times.

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Yankees vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Gerrit Cole

• The 34-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 3.41, a 3.41 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.126.
• Gerrit Cole’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-6.
• Cole’s team has won 10 of his 17 starts.
• Games Cole has started this season hit the over seven times in 16 chances.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha

• In 29 games this season, the 33-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.35, with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .246 against him.
• The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 13 of Wacha’s starts this season, and they went 6-7 in those games.
• Wacha’s team is 17-12 over his 29 starts.
• Michael Wacha has started 29 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 12 of them.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Royals’ 2024 Performance

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