Game 1 of the NLDS that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) versus the New York Mets (89-73) at Citizens Bank Park is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. Game time is at 4:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 5.

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Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: FOX
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Phillies vs. Mets Predictions

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Phillies vs. Mets Betting Lines

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Phillies Betting Insights

• Philadelphia has been the favorite in 128 games this season, and has come away with the win 80 times (62.5%) in those contests.
• The Phillies have a win-loss record of 35-15 when favored by -185 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 79 of 162 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-5 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total 10 times.

Mets Betting Insights

• New York has won 32 of the 68 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (47.1%).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +154 or longer, the Mets have a 2-3 record (winning 40% of their games).
• New York has played in 165 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 83 times (83-77-5).
• The Mets have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 9-6-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

• The 34-year-old has pitched in 32 games this season with a 2.57 ERA and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .192.
• Zack Wheeler’s team has won 63.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (19-11).
• Wheeler’s team is 19-13 when he starts this season.
• Games started by Wheeler have a 13-19-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga

• Over his one game this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of only .111 against him. He has a 3.38 ERA and averages 15.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
• The Mets have not been a moneyline underdog when Kodai Senga starts this season.
• His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
• Senga’s lone start with a total this season went over.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Mets’ 2024 Performance

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