Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers Game 1: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Oct. 5
Game 1 of the ALDS between the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) and Detroit Tigers (86-76) matching up at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 1:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 5.
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Guardians vs. Tigers Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 1:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Guardians vs. Tigers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Tigers 3
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -135 | +114 | 6.5 | -122 | +102 |
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Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has been chosen as the favorite in 101 games this year, and has walked away with the win 64 times (63.4%) in those games.
- The Guardians have a mark of 38-24 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 69 of 161 chances this season.
- The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-6 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has gone 48-48 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
- The Tigers are 22-32 (winning 40.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
- Detroit has played in 162 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-77-6).
- In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Tigers had a record of 7-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Detroit and its opponents are 4-10-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Guardians vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- The 25-year-old has pitched to a 3.47 ERA this season with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 31 games.
- Tanner Bibee’s team has a record of 17-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bibee’s team has a 22-9 record in his starts this season.
- Games Bibee has started this season hit the over 13 times in 31 chances.
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Tyler Holton
- During 66 games this season, the 28-year-old has a 2.19 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .173 to opposing hitters.
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Holton’s starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those games.
- Over Holton’s nine starts, his team is 4-6.
- Tyler Holton has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those outings.
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Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-69 |
| Home | 50-30 |
| Road | 42-39 |
| One-Run Games | 26-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 66-9 |
Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-76 |
| Home | 43-38 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 32-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-10 |
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