Predictions for Padres vs. Braves Game 2: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Oct. 2
Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series that pits the San Diego Padres (93-69) against the Atlanta Braves (89-73) at PETCO Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Padres. Game time is at 8:38 p.m. ET on Oct. 2.
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Padres vs. Braves Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Braves Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 4, Braves 3
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Padres vs. Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -118 | -102 | 6.5 | -118 | -102 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has been chosen as the favorite in 100 games this year, and has walked away with the win 58 times (58%) in those games.
- This year, the Padres have won 52 of 90 games when listed as at least -118 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving San Diego have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 82 of 163 chances this season.
- The Padres had a 7-2 record in the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), San Diego combined with its opponents to go over the run total three times.
Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has won 13 of the 31 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (41.9%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Braves have a record of 5-12 (29.4%).
- Atlanta has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 57 times this season for a 57-98-8 record against the over/under.
- The Braves have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents have failed to hit the over 10 times.
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Padres vs. Braves Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Joe Musgrove
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.88, a 4.39 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.174 in 19 games this season.
- Joe Musgrove’s team has won 53.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-7).
- Musgrove’s team has won 11 of his 19 starts.
- In games Musgrove has started this season, the teams are 9-10-0 at hitting the over.
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried
- The 30-year-old has put together a 3.25 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 29 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .226 to his opponents.
- The Braves have a 2-3 record in Fried’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Fried’s team is 17-12 in his 29 starts.
- Fried’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 29 games.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 93-69 |
| Home | 45-36 |
| Road | 48-33 |
| One-Run Games | 22-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 66-8 |
Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 89-73 |
| Home | 46-35 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 18-25 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-16 |
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