The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty are facing off in the WNBA playoffs semifinals, with Game 3 coming up.

Looking to make an informed wager on Friday’s game? Dig into the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.

Aces vs. Liberty Predictions

Spread: Liberty (+2.5) to Cover

• The model and BetMGM both have the Aces taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly less (0.2 points). Lean towards taking the Liberty.
• The Liberty’s ATS record is 21-23-0 this season.
• New York is a perfect 2-0 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
• The Aces’ ATS record is 21-23-0 this season.
• Las Vegas is 17-22 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 166.5

• In this game, the model projects a total (164.7 points) slightly lower than the BetMGM over/under (166.5 points).
• This season, the Aces games have finished over 166.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, 20 (out of 44) times.
• This season, 20 of New York’s 44 total matchups have gone over 166.5 total points scored.
• A total of 19 of the Aces’ 44 games with a set total have hit the over (43.2%).
• The Liberty have hit the over in 21 of their 44 games with a set total (47.7%).

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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-150)

• Prediction: Aces 83, Liberty 82
• New York has been the underdog in three games this season but picked up the win in all of them.

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Where to Watch Aces vs. Liberty: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Friday, October 4, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo

Aces Leaders

• The scoring and rebounding leader for the Aces is A’ja Wilson, who puts up 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds per game.
• Jackie Young leads Las Vegas in assists, averaging 5.3 per game while also scoring 15.8 points per contest.
• Kelsey Plum makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aces, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.
• Wilson is a standout on the defensive end for Las Vegas, leading the team in steals with 1.8 per game and blocks with 2.6 per contest.

Liberty Leaders

• Breanna Stewart puts up 20.4 points per game to be the top scorer for the Liberty.
• Jonquel Jones has a stat line of nine rebounds, 14.2 points and 3.2 assists per game for New York to take the top rebound spot on the team. Sabrina Ionescu holds the top spot for assists with 6.2 per game, adding 18.2 points and 4.4 rebounds per contest.
• Ionescu knocks down 2.8 three-pointers per game, the most on the Liberty.
• Stewart (1.7 steals per game) is the steal leader for New York while Jones (1.3 blocks per game) is the block leader.

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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