Sinner vs. Alcaraz Match Prediction and Odds for China Open, October 2, 2024
The tournament title is on the line on Wednesday, October 2, when Jannik Sinner plays Carlos Alcaraz in the final at the China Open.
Alcaraz is the favorite against Sinner for this tournament final, with -135 odds against the underdog’s +105.
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Sinner vs. Alcaraz Match Info
- Tournament: The China Open
- Round: Final
- Date: Wednesday, October 2
- Venue: National Tennis Center
- Location: Beijing, China
- Court Surface: Hard
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Sinner vs. Alcaraz Season Stats
| Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | World Rank | 3 |
| 59-6 | 2024 Match Record | 39-9 |
| 144-31 | 2024 Set Record | 97-33 |
| US Open | Last Tournament | US Open |
| Winner | Last Result | Round of 64 |
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Sinner vs. Alcaraz H2H and Insights
- On Monday, Sinner advanced past Jiri Lehecka 6-2, 7-6 in the quarterfinals.
- Alcaraz, on Monday, made it to the final by defeating No. 27-ranked Karen Khachanov 7-5, 6-2.
- In five head-to-head matches over the the past two years, Alcaraz has taken down Sinner three times. Alcaraz won the last one, 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the semifinals of the Roland Garros on June 7, 2024.
- In terms of serve/return winning percentages this year, Sinner has won 90.2% of his games on serve, and 30.4% on return.
- Alcaraz is 521-for-623 in service games (to compile a winning percentage of 83.6%) and 220-for-627 in return games (35.1%) on all surfaces.
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Sinner vs. Alcaraz Odds and Prediction
| Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | Odds to Win Match | -135 |
| 48.8% | Implied Prob. to Win Match | 57.4% |
| 49.6% | Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match | 50.4% |
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