Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series that pits the Baltimore Orioles (91-71) against the Kansas City Royals (86-76) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Orioles. First pitch is at 4:38 p.m. ET on Oct. 2.

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Orioles vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Orioles vs. Royals Betting Lines

Orioles vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -155 +130 7.5 +102 -122

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has been chosen as the favorite in 119 games this year, and has walked away with the win 68 times (57.1%) in those games.
  • This season, the Orioles have been victorious 34 times in 59 chances when named as a favorite of at least -155 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 85 of 161 opportunities.
  • The Orioles were the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they went 3-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Baltimore combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total eight times.

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has won 45% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (36-44).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Royals have a record of 8-17 (32%).
  • Kansas City has played in 163 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-88-6).
  • The Royals have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times.

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Orioles vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Zach Eflin

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.59 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .254 in 28 games this season.
  • When Zach Eflin starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-9.
  • Eflin’s team has won 17 of his 28 starts.
  • Games started by Eflin have a 13-15-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

  • In 33 games this season, the 34-year-old has a 3.00 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .229 to his opponents.
  • The Royals are 7-7 in Lugo’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lugo’s team is 17-16 in his 33 starts.
  • Lugo’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 11 of 33 games.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 91-71
Home 44-37
Road 47-34
One-Run Games 14-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 66-9

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 86-76
Home 45-36
Road 41-40
One-Run Games 18-21
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-20

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