Wednesday’s Round of 16 at the China Open includes a match between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys at National Tennis Center.

Sabalenka is the favorite (-450) against Keys (+320) in this Round of 16 match.

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Sabalenka vs. Keys Match Info

  • Tournament: The China Open
  • Round: Round of 16
  • Date: Wednesday, October 2
  • Venue: National Tennis Center
  • Location: Beijing, China
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Sabalenka vs. Keys Season Stats

Aryna Sabalenka Madison Keys
2 World Rank 24
44-10 2024 Match Record 23-10
93-27 2024 Set Record 47-21
US Open Last Tournament US Open
Winner Last Result Round of 32

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Sabalenka vs. Keys H2H and Insights

  • In the Round of 32 on Monday, Sabalenka beat No. 68-ranked Ashlyn Krueger (6-2, 6-2).
  • Keys, on Sunday, made it to the Round of 16 by beating No. 12-ranked Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3, 6-3.
  • In the past two years, Sabalenka and Keys have met two times and Sabalenka is 2-0, including a 0-6, 7-6, 7-6 victory for Sabalenka last time around at the US Open on September 7, 2023.
  • Thus far this year, Sabalenka has won 38.9% of her return games and 79.5% of her service games.
  • Including all surfaces, Keys’ service game winning percentage is 73.9% (winning 252 of 341 service games) and her return game winning percentage is 38.5% (earning a win in 137 of 356 return games).

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Sabalenka vs. Keys Odds and Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka Madison Keys
-450 Odds to Win Match +320
+160 Odds to Win Tournament +2800
81.8% Implied Prob. to Win Match 23.8%
38.5% Implied Prob. to Win Tournament 3.4%
61% Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match 39%

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