Sabalenka vs. Keys Match Prediction and Odds for China Open, October 2, 2024
Wednesday’s Round of 16 at the China Open includes a match between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys at National Tennis Center.
Sabalenka is the favorite (-450) against Keys (+320) in this Round of 16 match.
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Sabalenka vs. Keys Match Info
- Tournament: The China Open
- Round: Round of 16
- Date: Wednesday, October 2
- Venue: National Tennis Center
- Location: Beijing, China
- Court Surface: Hard
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Sabalenka vs. Keys Season Stats
| Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | World Rank | 24 |
| 44-10 | 2024 Match Record | 23-10 |
| 93-27 | 2024 Set Record | 47-21 |
| US Open | Last Tournament | US Open |
| Winner | Last Result | Round of 32 |
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Sabalenka vs. Keys H2H and Insights
- In the Round of 32 on Monday, Sabalenka beat No. 68-ranked Ashlyn Krueger (6-2, 6-2).
- Keys, on Sunday, made it to the Round of 16 by beating No. 12-ranked Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3, 6-3.
- In the past two years, Sabalenka and Keys have met two times and Sabalenka is 2-0, including a 0-6, 7-6, 7-6 victory for Sabalenka last time around at the US Open on September 7, 2023.
- Thus far this year, Sabalenka has won 38.9% of her return games and 79.5% of her service games.
- Including all surfaces, Keys’ service game winning percentage is 73.9% (winning 252 of 341 service games) and her return game winning percentage is 38.5% (earning a win in 137 of 356 return games).
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Sabalenka vs. Keys Odds and Prediction
| Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| -450 | Odds to Win Match | +320 |
| +160 | Odds to Win Tournament | +2800 |
| 81.8% | Implied Prob. to Win Match | 23.8% |
| 38.5% | Implied Prob. to Win Tournament | 3.4% |
| 61% | Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match | 39% |
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