Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series that pits the Baltimore Orioles (91-71) versus the Kansas City Royals (86-76) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Orioles. First pitch is at 4:08 p.m. ET on Oct. 1.

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Orioles vs. Royals Matchup Info

• When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 4:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Orioles vs. Royals Predictions

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Orioles vs. Royals Betting Lines

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Orioles Betting Insights

• Baltimore has been chosen as the favorite in 118 games this year, and has walked away with the win 68 times (57.6%) in those games.
• This year, the Orioles have won 39 of 67 games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 85 of 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Baltimore and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.

Royals Betting Insights

• Kansas City has been the underdog on the moneyline 79 total times this season. It has finished 35-44 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Royals have an 8-19 record (winning only 29.6% of their games).
• Kansas City has played in 162 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-87-6).
• The Royals have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
• Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Orioles vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes

• The 29-year-old has pitched in 32 games this season with an ERA of 2.92, a 3.77 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.096.
• Corbin Burnes’ team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 20-10.
• Burnes’ team has won 20 of his 32 starts.
• Out of Burnes’ 32 starts with a total this season, 18 have hit the over.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Cole Ragans

• The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.14, with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 32 games this season. Opponents have a .213 batting average against him.
• The Royals have a 5-7 record in Ragans’ 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Ragans’ team is 16-16 in his 32 starts.
• Cole Ragans has had 32 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 10 of those outings.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Royals’ 2024 Performance

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