Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series between the Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) and New York Mets (89-73) matching up at American Family Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Brewers, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 5:32 p.m. ET on Oct. 1.

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Brewers vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Brewers vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Brewers vs. Mets Betting Lines

Brewers vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Brewers -148 +124 7.5 +102 -122

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • Milwaukee has won 54, or 59.3%, of the 91 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Brewers have been victorious 22 times in 36 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 82 of 162 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Brewers had a 5-1 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Milwaukee combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total six times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has compiled a 30-35 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.2% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Mets have a 9-6 record (winning 60% of their games).
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 81 times this season for an 81-76-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Brewers vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 32 games this season with an ERA of 3.68, a 2.94 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.215.
  • When Freddy Peralta starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 15-10.
  • Peralta’s team is 19-13 when he starts this season.
  • In Peralta’s 32 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 17 times.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • In 31 games this season, the 30-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.91, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .243 against him.
  • The Mets have a 3-9 record in Severino’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Severino’s team has won 15 of his 31 starts.
  • Luis Severino has had 31 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 17 of those games hit the over.

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Brewers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 93-69
Home 47-34
Road 46-35
One-Run Games 28-25
Scoring 5+ Runs 65-12

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 89-73
Home 46-35
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 28-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 61-18

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