Predictions for Astros vs. Tigers Game 1: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Oct. 1
Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series between the Houston Astros (88-73) and Detroit Tigers (86-76) going head to head at Minute Maid Park has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Astros, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will start at 2:32 p.m. ET on Oct. 1.
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Astros vs. Tigers Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 2:32 p.m. ET
- Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
- How to Watch on TV: ABC
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Astros vs. Tigers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Astros 4, Tigers 3
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Astros vs. Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -142 | +120 | 6.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has been victorious in 66, or 57.4%, of the 115 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Astros have come away with a win 48 times in 75 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 161 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-2 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Houston and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 15 games had set totals).
Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has won 48.9% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (46-48).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Tigers have gone 13-26 (33.3%).
- Detroit has played in 160 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-75-6).
- In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Tigers had a record of 6-2.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Detroit and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
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Astros vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with a 2.91 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .221.
- Framber Valdez’s team has a record of 16-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Valdez’s team has won 19 of his 28 starts this season.
- Games Valdez has started this season hit the over eight times in 28 chances.
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.39, with 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 31 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .201 batting average against him.
- The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Skubal’s starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
- Skubal’s team is 21-10 in his 31 starts.
- Skubal’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 18 of 31 games.
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Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-73 |
| Home | 46-35 |
| Road | 42-38 |
| One-Run Games | 18-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 65-10 |
Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-76 |
| Home | 43-38 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 32-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-10 |
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