Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 29
Sunday’s contest at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (82-79) squaring off against the Baltimore Orioles (90-71) at 3:10 p.m. ET (on Sept. 29). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Twins, so expect a competitive matchup.
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Twins vs. Orioles Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Twins vs. Orioles Predictions
- Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Twins vs. Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -142 | +120 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has come away with 64 wins in the 111 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Twins have won 42 of 70 games when listed as at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 83 of 160 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins went 3-9 over the 12 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Minnesota and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times.
Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has won 22 of the 40 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (55%).
- The Orioles have a 5-2 record (winning 71.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
- In the 159 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Baltimore, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 85 times (85-61-13).
- In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Orioles had a record of 4-3.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents are 8-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Twins vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober
- The 29-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with an ERA of 3.94, a 4.35 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.002.
- Bailey Ober’s team is 12-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Ober’s team has won 15 of his 30 starts.
- Out of Ober’s 30 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Albert Suarez
- The 34-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.74, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 31 games this season. Opponents are batting .258 against him.
- The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Suarez’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
- Suarez’s team has a 12-11 record in his starts this season.
- Albert Suarez has had 23 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in six of those matchups.
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Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 82-79 |
| Home | 43-37 |
| Road | 39-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 57-13 |
Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 90-71 |
| Home | 44-37 |
| Road | 46-34 |
| One-Run Games | 14-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 65-9 |
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