Predictions for Rays vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 29
Sunday’s contest that pits the Boston Red Sox (80-81) against the Tampa Bay Rays (80-81) at Fenway Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. Game time is at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 29.
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Rays vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Rays vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Rays 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -112 | -108 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has won 38, or 56.7%, of the 67 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Rays have a win-loss record of 38-29 when favored by -112 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over in 67 of 161 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rays had a 2-1 record over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Tampa Bay and its opponents combined to hit the over two times.
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has compiled a 37-41 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.4% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Red Sox have a record of 36-39 (48%).
- In the 159 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Boston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 81 times (81-71-7).
- In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Red Sox had a record of 6-5.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Rays vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
- The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.64 and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .211 in 25 games this season.
- Ryan Pepiot’s team has a record of 8-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Pepiot’s team is 13-12 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Pepiot have a 9-12-4 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Quinn Priester
- Quinn Priester and his team were moneyline underdogs in every game he pitched a season ago.
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Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-81 |
| Home | 42-39 |
| Road | 38-42 |
| One-Run Games | 30-22 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-8 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-81 |
| Home | 37-43 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 18-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 63-12 |
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