Sunday’s contest at Nationals Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (94-67) matching up with the Washington Nationals (71-90) at 3:05 p.m. ET (on Sept. 29). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Phillies, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -142 +120 7.5 -112 -108

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been victorious in 79, or 62.2%, of the 127 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Phillies have a mark of 59-32 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 78 of 161 chances this season.
  • The Phillies went 6-6 over the 12 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 10 times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has compiled a 56-78 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.8% of those games).
  • The Nationals have gone 33-57 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (36.7%).
  • Washington has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 161 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 76 of those games (76-77-8).
  • In 12 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-9.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 32 games this season with an ERA of 3.52, a 3.8 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.184.
  • Aaron Nola’s team has a record of 18-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Nola’s team is 20-12 when he starts this season.
  • Games Nola has started this season hit the over 16 times in 32 chances.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin

  • During 32 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 4.22 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .243 to his opponents.
  • The Nationals are 11-18 in Irvin’s 29 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Irvin’s team has a 13-19 record in his starts this season.
  • Irvin’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 16 of 32 contests.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 94-67
Home 54-27
Road 40-40
One-Run Games 23-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 66-12

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 71-90
Home 38-42
Road 33-48
One-Run Games 14-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 51-17

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