Sunday’s game features the Atlanta Braves (88-71) and the Kansas City Royals (85-76) squaring off at Truist Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Braves according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 3:20 p.m. ET on Sept. 29.

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Braves vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Braves vs. Royals Betting Lines

Braves vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -218 +180 8.5 -104 -125

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 128 games this year, and has walked away with the win 75 times (58.6%) in those games.
  • This season, the Braves have come away with a win 25 times in 34 chances when named as a favorite of at least -218 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over in 56 of 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Braves went 9-3 over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has compiled a 34-44 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.6% of those games).
  • The Royals have a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer.
  • In the 161 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Kansas City, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-86-6).
  • In six games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 1-5.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Braves vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton

  • The 40-year-old has an ERA of 4.08, a 2.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.317 in 29 games this season.
  • Charlie Morton’s team has been victorious in 54.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-10.
  • Morton’s team is 13-16 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Morton have an 11-17-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Alec Marsh

  • During 25 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 4.65 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .249 to opposing hitters.
  • The Royals are 10-6 in Marsh’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Marsh’s team has a 15-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Alec Marsh has had 24 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 14 of those games hit the over.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 88-71
Home 45-33
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 18-24
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-15

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 85-76
Home 45-36
Road 40-40
One-Run Games 17-21
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-20

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