Predictions for Braves vs. Royals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 29
Sunday’s game features the Atlanta Braves (88-71) and the Kansas City Royals (85-76) squaring off at Truist Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Braves according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 3:20 p.m. ET on Sept. 29.
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Braves vs. Royals Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Royals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Royals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Braves vs. Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -218 | +180 | 8.5 | -104 | -125 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 128 games this year, and has walked away with the win 75 times (58.6%) in those games.
- This season, the Braves have come away with a win 25 times in 34 chances when named as a favorite of at least -218 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over in 56 of 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Braves went 9-3 over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Royals Betting Insights
- Kansas City has compiled a 34-44 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.6% of those games).
- The Royals have a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer.
- In the 161 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Kansas City, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-86-6).
- In six games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 1-5.
- Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Braves vs. Royals Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton
- The 40-year-old has an ERA of 4.08, a 2.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.317 in 29 games this season.
- Charlie Morton’s team has been victorious in 54.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-10.
- Morton’s team is 13-16 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Morton have an 11-17-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Alec Marsh
- During 25 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 4.65 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .249 to opposing hitters.
- The Royals are 10-6 in Marsh’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Marsh’s team has a 15-9 record in his starts this season.
- Alec Marsh has had 24 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 14 of those games hit the over.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-71 |
| Home | 45-33 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 18-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-15 |
Royals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 85-76 |
| Home | 45-36 |
| Road | 40-40 |
| One-Run Games | 17-21 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-20 |
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