Monday’s contest between the Atlanta Braves (88-72) and the New York Mets (88-72) at Truist Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Braves coming out on top. Game time is at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 30.

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Braves vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines

Braves vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -148 +124 8 -102 -118

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has won 75, or 58.1%, of the 129 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Braves have come away with a win 50 times in 86 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 56 of 160 opportunities.
  • The Braves had an 8-4 record over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been the moneyline underdog 63 total times this season. It has gone 29-34 in those games.
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Mets have gone 9-5 (64.3%).
  • New York has played in 160 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 80 times (80-75-5).
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.

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Braves vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.47 and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .230 in 20 games this season.
  • Spencer Schwellenbach’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-7).
  • Schwellenbach’s team has a 10-10 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Schwellenbach has started this season, the teams are 4-16-0 at hitting the over.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill

  • The 29-year-old has put together a 3.98 ERA and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .226 to opposing batters.
  • The Mets are 3-2 in Megill’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Megill’s team has a 7-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Megill’s starts went over the run total five times in 14 games with a set total this season.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 88-72
Home 45-34
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 18-24
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-15

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 88-72
Home 46-35
Road 42-37
One-Run Games 27-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 60-18

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