Predictions for Braves vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 30
Monday’s contest between the Atlanta Braves (88-72) and the New York Mets (88-72) at Truist Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Braves coming out on top. Game time is at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 30.
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Braves vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 30, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -148 | +124 | 8 | -102 | -118 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has won 75, or 58.1%, of the 129 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Braves have come away with a win 50 times in 86 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 56 of 160 opportunities.
- The Braves had an 8-4 record over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 15 games had set totals).
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been the moneyline underdog 63 total times this season. It has gone 29-34 in those games.
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Mets have gone 9-5 (64.3%).
- New York has played in 160 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 80 times (80-75-5).
- The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
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Braves vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.47 and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .230 in 20 games this season.
- Spencer Schwellenbach’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-7).
- Schwellenbach’s team has a 10-10 record in his starts this season.
- In games Schwellenbach has started this season, the teams are 4-16-0 at hitting the over.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill
- The 29-year-old has put together a 3.98 ERA and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .226 to opposing batters.
- The Mets are 3-2 in Megill’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Megill’s team has a 7-7 record in his starts this season.
- Megill’s starts went over the run total five times in 14 games with a set total this season.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-72 |
| Home | 45-34 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 18-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-15 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-72 |
| Home | 46-35 |
| Road | 42-37 |
| One-Run Games | 27-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 60-18 |
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