Predictions for Yankees vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 29
Sunday’s contest between the New York Yankees (93-68) and Pittsburgh Pirates (76-85) squaring off at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 29.
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Yankees vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: YES
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Pirates 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -185 | +154 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 73 wins in the 130 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 25 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -185 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 85 of 160 chances this season.
- The Yankees had a 9-5 record across the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has won 39 of the 95 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (41.1%).
- The Pirates have gone 4-10 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +154 or longer (28.6%).
- Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by bookmakers 161 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 76 of those games (76-80-5).
- In 12 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-7.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 5-10-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Yankees vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- The 28-year-old has pitched to a 2.55 ERA this season with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 15 games.
- Clarke Schmidt’s team has won 72.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-3).
- Schmidt’s team has a 10-5 record in his starts this season.
- In games Schmidt has started this season, the teams are 5-10-0 at hitting the over.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter
- In 27 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.26, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .258 against him.
- The Pirates have an 8-14 record in Falter’s 22 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Falter’s team has a 12-15 record in his starts this season.
- Falter’s starts hit the over on the run total 13 times in 27 games with a set total this season.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 93-68 |
| Home | 43-37 |
| Road | 50-31 |
| One-Run Games | 19-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 68-13 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 76-85 |
| Home | 39-42 |
| Road | 37-43 |
| One-Run Games | 25-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-19 |
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