Sunday’s contest between the New York Yankees (93-68) and Pittsburgh Pirates (76-85) squaring off at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 29.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Yankees vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -185 +154 8 -112 -108

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 73 wins in the 130 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 25 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -185 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 85 of 160 chances this season.
  • The Yankees had a 9-5 record across the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 39 of the 95 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (41.1%).
  • The Pirates have gone 4-10 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +154 or longer (28.6%).
  • Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by bookmakers 161 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 76 of those games (76-80-5).
  • In 12 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-7.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 5-10-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Clarke Schmidt

  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 2.55 ERA this season with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 15 games.
  • Clarke Schmidt’s team has won 72.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-3).
  • Schmidt’s team has a 10-5 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Schmidt has started this season, the teams are 5-10-0 at hitting the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • In 27 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.26, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .258 against him.
  • The Pirates have an 8-14 record in Falter’s 22 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Falter’s team has a 12-15 record in his starts this season.
  • Falter’s starts hit the over on the run total 13 times in 27 games with a set total this season.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 93-68
Home 43-37
Road 50-31
One-Run Games 19-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 68-13

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 76-85
Home 39-42
Road 37-43
One-Run Games 25-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-19

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