Predictions for Braves vs. Royals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 28
Saturday’s game between the Atlanta Braves (87-71) and the Kansas City Royals (85-75) at Truist Park is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Braves securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.
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Braves vs. Royals Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSKC
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Royals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 4, Royals 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Braves vs. Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -205 | +170 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has been victorious in 74, or 58.3%, of the 127 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Braves have won 28 of 39 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 56 of 158 chances this season.
- The Braves had an 8-4 record over the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over six times.
Royals Betting Insights
- Kansas City has gone 34-43 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.2% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer, the Royals have gone 1-2 (33.3%).
- Kansas City has played in 160 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-85-6).
- In six games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Royals had a record of 2-4.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Kansas City and its opponents are 4-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Braves vs. Royals Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo López
- The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.03, a 3.26 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.150 in 24 games this season.
- When Reynaldo Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-8.
- In games Lopez has started, his team is 15-9.
- In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 5-16-3 at hitting the over.
Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo
- The 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.03, with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 32 games this season. Opponents are hitting .230 against him.
- The Royals are 7-6 in Lugo’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Lugo’s team has won 17 of his 32 starts.
- Seth Lugo has had 32 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those matchups hit the over.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 87-71 |
| Home | 44-33 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 17-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-15 |
Royals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 85-75 |
| Home | 45-36 |
| Road | 40-39 |
| One-Run Games | 17-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-20 |
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