Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 28
Saturday’s contest between the Toronto Blue Jays (74-86) and the Miami Marlins (60-100) at Rogers Centre is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Blue Jays taking home the win. First pitch is at 3:07 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.
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Blue Jays vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
- How to Watch on TV: SNET
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Blue Jays vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Blue Jays vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -166 | +140 | 8.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Blue Jays Betting Insights
- Toronto has been chosen as the favorite in 79 games this year, and has walked away with the win 45 times (57%) in those games.
- The Blue Jays have a mark of 16-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -166 or better on the moneyline.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of 159 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Toronto and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 15 games had set totals).
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has been the underdog on the moneyline 142 total times this season. It has gone 56-86 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 28-45 (38.4%).
- In the 160 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 84 times (84-68-8).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and went 6-9 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Blue Jays vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez
- The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.41 and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .230 in 20 games this season.
- Yariel Rodriguez’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2.
- Rodriguez’s team is 7-13 when he starts this season.
- In Rodriguez’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Xzavion Curry
- The 26-year-old has a 5.02 ERA and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .243 to his opponents.
- The Marlins were the underdog on the moneyline for one Xzavion Curry start this season — they won.
- Curry’s team has won three of his four starts.
- Curry has had four starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in three of those games.
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Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-86 |
| Home | 39-40 |
| Road | 35-46 |
| One-Run Games | 19-30 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-13 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 60-100 |
| Home | 30-51 |
| Road | 30-49 |
| One-Run Games | 23-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 37-17 |
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