Saturday’s contest between the New York Yankees (93-67) and Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) matching up at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Yankees vs. Pirates Predictions

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Lines

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Yankees Betting Insights

• New York has won 73, or 56.6%, of the 129 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This season, the Yankees have been victorious 57 times in 99 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 84 of 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 10-4 in those matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times.

Pirates Betting Insights

• Pittsburgh has put together a 38-56 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.4% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Pirates have a 24-35 record (winning 40.7% of their games).
• Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by bookmakers 160 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 75 of those games (75-80-5).
• In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates had a record of 4-7.
• When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 4-11-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil

• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.27, a 2.18 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.192 in 28 games this season.
• Luis Gil’s team has won 65.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-8).
• Gil’s team is 19-9 when he starts this season.
• Out of Gil’s 28 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes

• In 22 games this season, the 22-year-old has an ERA of 1.99, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .200 against him.
• The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for two Paul Skenes starts this season — they split the games.
• Skenes’ team has a 14-8 record in his starts this season.
• Skenes has had 22 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 10 of those games.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

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