Friday’s contest at Yankee Stadium has the New York Yankees (93-66) taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) at 7:05 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 victory for the Yankees, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Yankees vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -175 +145 7.5 -118 -102

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been the favorite in 128 games this season, and has come away with the win 73 times (57%) in those contests.
  • The Yankees have a win-loss record of 32-18 when favored by -175 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 84 of 158 chances this season.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 10-4 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to hit the over six times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 39.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (37-56).
  • The Pirates have a 6-16 record (winning just 27.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer.
  • Pittsburgh has played in 159 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-79-5).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodón

  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.98, a 3.58 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.214 in 31 games this season.
  • Carlos Rodon’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (18-9).
  • Rodon’s team has a 19-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Rodon has started this season hit the over 18 times in 31 chances.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones

  • The 23-year-old has put together a 4.14 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings during 21 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .231 to his opponents.
  • The Pirates have a 3-6 record in Jones’ nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Jones’ team has won 10 of his 21 starts.
  • Jones’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 21 games.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 93-66
Home 43-35
Road 50-31
One-Run Games 19-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 68-13

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-85
Home 39-42
Road 35-43
One-Run Games 25-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-19

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