Predictions for Yankees vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 27
Friday’s contest at Yankee Stadium has the New York Yankees (93-66) taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) at 7:05 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 victory for the Yankees, who are a small favorite based on our model.
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Yankees vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -175 | +145 | 7.5 | -118 | -102 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has been the favorite in 128 games this season, and has come away with the win 73 times (57%) in those contests.
- The Yankees have a win-loss record of 32-18 when favored by -175 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 84 of 158 chances this season.
- The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 10-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to hit the over six times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has won 39.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (37-56).
- The Pirates have a 6-16 record (winning just 27.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer.
- Pittsburgh has played in 159 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-79-5).
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
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Yankees vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodón
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.98, a 3.58 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.214 in 31 games this season.
- Carlos Rodon’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (18-9).
- Rodon’s team has a 19-12 record in his starts this season.
- Games Rodon has started this season hit the over 18 times in 31 chances.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones
- The 23-year-old has put together a 4.14 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings during 21 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .231 to his opponents.
- The Pirates have a 3-6 record in Jones’ nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Jones’ team has won 10 of his 21 starts.
- Jones’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 21 games.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 93-66 |
| Home | 43-35 |
| Road | 50-31 |
| One-Run Games | 19-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 68-13 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-85 |
| Home | 39-42 |
| Road | 35-43 |
| One-Run Games | 25-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-19 |
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