Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 28
Saturday’s contest at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (82-78) going head to head against the Baltimore Orioles (89-71) at 7:15 p.m. ET (on Sept. 28). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 win for the Twins, so it should be a competitive matchup.
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Twins vs. Orioles Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Twins vs. Orioles Predictions
- Score Prediction: Twins 6, Orioles 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Twins vs. Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -148 | +124 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 110 games this year, and has walked away with the win 64 times (58.2%) in those games.
- This year, the Twins have won 40 of 65 games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 82 of 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins had a 4-8 record across the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Minnesota and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times.
Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has been the moneyline underdog 39 total times this season. It has gone 21-18 in those games.
- The Orioles have gone 3-1 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer (75%).
- Baltimore has played in 158 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 84 times (84-61-13).
- The Orioles have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
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Twins vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Zebby Matthews
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.71, a 4.75 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.500 in eight games this season.
- Zebby Matthews’ team has been victorious in 40% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-3.
- Matthews’ team has won three of his eight starts this season.
- Games Matthews has started this season hit the over five times in eight chances.
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Albert Suarez
- The 34-year-old has put together a 3.74 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings over 31 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .258 to his opponents.
- The Orioles are 3-4 in Suarez’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Suarez’s team has put together a 12-11 record over his 23 starts.
- Albert Suarez has had 23 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those outings.
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Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 82-78 |
| Home | 43-36 |
| Road | 39-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 57-13 |
Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 89-71 |
| Home | 44-37 |
| Road | 45-34 |
| One-Run Games | 14-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 64-9 |
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