Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 27
Friday’s contest features the Minnesota Twins (82-77) and the Baltimore Orioles (88-71) facing off at Target Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Twins according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 27.
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Twins vs. Orioles Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: BSN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Twins vs. Orioles Predictions
- Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Twins vs. Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -162 | +136 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 109 games this year, and has walked away with the win 64 times (58.7%) in those games.
- The Twins have a mark of 34-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -162 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 81 of 158 chances this season.
- The Twins had a 5-7 record across the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total 10 times.
Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has won 20 of the 38 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (52.6%).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, the Orioles have a 3-1 record (winning 75% of their games).
- In the 157 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Baltimore, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 83 times (83-61-13).
- In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Orioles had a record of 3-4.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Twins vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.11 and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .252 in 31 games this season.
- When Pablo Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-8.
- Lopez’s team is 18-13 when he starts this season.
- In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 17-12-2 at hitting the over.
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Cade Povich
- The 24-year-old has a 5.59 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .265 to opposing batters.
- The Orioles are 2-4 in Povich’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Povich’s team is 5-10 over his 15 starts.
- Cade Povich has had 14 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups hit the over.
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Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 82-77 |
| Home | 43-35 |
| Road | 39-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 57-13 |
Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-71 |
| Home | 44-37 |
| Road | 44-34 |
| One-Run Games | 14-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 63-9 |
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