Friday’s contest features the Minnesota Twins (82-77) and the Baltimore Orioles (88-71) facing off at Target Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Twins according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 27.

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Twins vs. Orioles Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Orioles Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Twins vs. Orioles Betting Lines

Twins vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -162 +136 8 -112 -108

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 109 games this year, and has walked away with the win 64 times (58.7%) in those games.
  • The Twins have a mark of 34-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -162 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 81 of 158 chances this season.
  • The Twins had a 5-7 record across the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total 10 times.

Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has won 20 of the 38 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (52.6%).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, the Orioles have a 3-1 record (winning 75% of their games).
  • In the 157 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Baltimore, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 83 times (83-61-13).
  • In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Orioles had a record of 3-4.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Twins vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.11 and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .252 in 31 games this season.
  • When Pablo Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-8.
  • Lopez’s team is 18-13 when he starts this season.
  • In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 17-12-2 at hitting the over.

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Cade Povich

  • The 24-year-old has a 5.59 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .265 to opposing batters.
  • The Orioles are 2-4 in Povich’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Povich’s team is 5-10 over his 15 starts.
  • Cade Povich has had 14 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups hit the over.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 82-77
Home 43-35
Road 39-42
One-Run Games 22-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 57-13

Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 88-71
Home 44-37
Road 44-34
One-Run Games 14-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 63-9

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