Saturday’s contest between the Boston Red Sox (80-80) and the Tampa Bay Rays (79-81) at Fenway Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Red Sox coming out on top. Game time is at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.

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Red Sox vs. Rays Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Red Sox vs. Rays Predictions

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Lines

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Red Sox Betting Insights

• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 79 games this year, and has walked away with the win 42 times (53.2%) in those games.
• The Red Sox have a win-loss record of 34-28 when favored by -122 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Contests involving Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 80 of 158 chances this season.
• The Red Sox had a 1-3 record over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Boston combined with its opponents to go over the run total five times.

Rays Betting Insights

• Tampa Bay is 40-50 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.4% of those games).
• The Rays are 23-37 (winning only 38.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
• Tampa Bay has played in 160 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-87-7).
• The Rays have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and went 6-6 in those contests.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over just once in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford

• The 28-year-old has pitched in 32 games this season with an ERA of 4.17, a 3.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.099.
• Kutter Crawford’s team has a record of 5-10 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Crawford’s team is 10-22 when he starts this season.
• In games Crawford has started this season, the teams are 14-16-1 at hitting the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz

• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.07, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .204 batting average against him.
• The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Baz’s starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
• Baz’s team has compiled a 7-6 record in his 13 starts.
• Shane Baz has had 13 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Rays’ 2024 Performance

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