Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 28
Saturday’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) and the Washington Nationals (70-90) at Nationals Park is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Phillies securing the victory. Game time is at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.
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Phillies vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -205 | +170 | 7.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 126 games this year, and has walked away with the win 79 times (62.7%) in those games.
- This year, the Phillies have won 26 of 34 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of 160 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-5 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington is 55-78 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.4% of those games).
- The Nationals are 8-11 (winning 42.1% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer.
- In the 160 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-77-8).
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and went 2-9 in those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 5-9-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler
- The 34-year-old has pitched in 31 games this season with a 2.56 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .194.
- Zack Wheeler’s team has a record of 19-10 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Wheeler’s team has a 19-12 record in his starts this season.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 12-19-0 at hitting the over.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.04, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 31 games this season. Opponents are batting .267 against him.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 21 of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 9-12 in those matchups.
- Gore’s team has a 14-17 record in his 31 starts.
- MacKenzie Gore has had 31 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 15 of those outings.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 94-66 |
| Home | 54-27 |
| Road | 40-39 |
| One-Run Games | 23-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 66-12 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 70-90 |
| Home | 37-42 |
| Road | 33-48 |
| One-Run Games | 14-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 50-17 |
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