Saturday’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) and the Washington Nationals (70-90) at Nationals Park is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Phillies securing the victory. Game time is at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -205 +170 7.5 -112 -108

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 126 games this year, and has walked away with the win 79 times (62.7%) in those games.
  • This year, the Phillies have won 26 of 34 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of 160 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington is 55-78 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.4% of those games).
  • The Nationals are 8-11 (winning 42.1% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer.
  • In the 160 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-77-8).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and went 2-9 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 5-9-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 31 games this season with a 2.56 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .194.
  • Zack Wheeler’s team has a record of 19-10 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Wheeler’s team has a 19-12 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 12-19-0 at hitting the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.04, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 31 games this season. Opponents are batting .267 against him.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 21 of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 9-12 in those matchups.
  • Gore’s team has a 14-17 record in his 31 starts.
  • MacKenzie Gore has had 31 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 15 of those outings.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 94-66
Home 54-27
Road 40-39
One-Run Games 23-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 66-12

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 70-90
Home 37-42
Road 33-48
One-Run Games 14-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 50-17

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