Predictions for Mets vs. Brewers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 28
Saturday’s contest that pits the Milwaukee Brewers (92-68) against the New York Mets (87-71) at American Family Field has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Brewers. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.
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Mets vs. Brewers Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Brewers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Mets 3
- Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
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Mets vs. Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -115 | -105 | 7.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 58 wins in the 95 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Mets have a mark of 54-36 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -115 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of 158 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).
Brewers Betting Insights
- Milwaukee has been the moneyline underdog 68 total times this season. It has finished 38-30 in those games.
- The Brewers are 29-26 (winning 52.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
- Milwaukee has played in 160 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 82 times (82-68-10).
- In eight games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Brewers had a record of 4-4.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Mets vs. Brewers Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana
- The 35-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with an ERA of 3.74, a 2.07 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.241.
- Jose Quintana’s team is 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Quintana’s team has won 16 of his 30 starts.
- Games started by Quintana have a 13-16-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Jared Koenig
- The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.51, with 9 strikeouts per nine innings in 54 games this season. Opposing batters have a .228 batting average against him.
- The Brewers have a 2-2 record in Koenig’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Koenig’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Jared Koenig has five starts with a total this season — his team has gone under each time.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 87-71 |
| Home | 46-35 |
| Road | 41-36 |
| One-Run Games | 27-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 59-18 |
Brewers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-68 |
| Home | 46-33 |
| Road | 46-35 |
| One-Run Games | 28-25 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 64-12 |
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