Friday’s game features the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71) and the San Diego Padres (91-68) squaring off at Chase Field in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Diamondbacks according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 9:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 27.

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Matchup Info

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Predictions

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Lines

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• Arizona has been chosen as the favorite in 83 games this year, and has walked away with the win 51 times (61.4%) in those games.
• This season, the Diamondbacks have been victorious 39 times in 61 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 91 of 159 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks went 7-6 across the 13 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Arizona and its opponents combined to go over the total nine times.

Padres Betting Insights

• San Diego is 32-26 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 55.2% of those games).
• The Padres are 13-14 (winning 48.1% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
• San Diego has had an over/under set by bookmakers 159 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 81 of those games (81-74-4).
• In three games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Padres had a record of 2-1.
• In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly

• The 35-year-old has pitched to a 3.71 ERA this season with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across 12 games.
• Merrill Kelly’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Kelly’s team has a 6-6 record in his starts this season.
• In games Kelly has started this season, the teams are 7-5-0 at hitting the over.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Yu Darvish

• The 38-year-old has an ERA of 3.18, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opponents are batting .219 against him.
• The Padres have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Darvish’s starts this season, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
• Darvish’s team is 11-4 in his 15 starts.
• Darvish’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 10 of 15 games.

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Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Padres’ 2024 Performance

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