Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 28
Saturday’s game features the Chicago Cubs (82-78) and the Cincinnati Reds (76-84) facing off at Wrigley Field in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Cubs according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 2:20 p.m. ET on Sept. 28.
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Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 2:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: MARQ
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Cubs vs. Reds Predictions
- Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Reds 5
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
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Cubs vs. Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -130 | +110 | 7 | -120 | +100 |
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Cubs Betting Insights
- Chicago has won 43, or 55.1%, of the 78 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Cubs have come away with a win 34 times in 53 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 75 of 160 opportunities.
- The Cubs went 6-5 over the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Chicago and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.
Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has put together a 40-49 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.9% of those games).
- The Reds have gone 28-31 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (47.5%).
- Cincinnati has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 73 times this season for a 73-78-8 record against the over/under.
- The Reds have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and went 4-8 in those contests.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Cubs vs. Reds Probable Pitchers
Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- The 34-year-old has pitched to a 6.28 ERA this season with 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3 walks per nine across 28 games.
- Kyle Hendricks’ team has a record of 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Hendricks’ team is 10-13 when he starts this season.
- Out of Hendricks’ 23 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder
- The 22-year-old has an ERA of 1.40, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season. Opponents are batting .229 against him.
- The Reds have a 2-1 record in Lowder’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Lowder’s team is 3-2 over his five starts.
- Lowder’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of five contests.
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Cubs’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 82-78 |
| Home | 43-36 |
| Road | 39-42 |
| One-Run Games | 23-28 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 61-12 |
Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 76-84 |
| Home | 39-42 |
| Road | 37-42 |
| One-Run Games | 15-28 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-10 |
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