Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 27
Friday’s contest at Wrigley Field has the Chicago Cubs (81-78) squaring off against the Cincinnati Reds (76-83) at 2:20 p.m. ET (on Sept. 27). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Cubs, so expect a competitive matchup.
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Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 2:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Cubs vs. Reds Predictions
- Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Reds 4
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Cubs vs. Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -125 | +105 | 6.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Cubs Betting Insights
- Chicago has won 42, or 54.5%, of the 77 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Cubs have a win-loss record of 35-22 when favored by -125 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 75 of 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Cubs went 5-5 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Chicago and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times.
Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has gone 40-48 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
- The Reds have gone 30-37 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer (44.8%).
- Cincinnati has played in 158 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-77-8).
- The Reds have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and went 5-7 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Cubs vs. Reds Probable Pitchers
Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.41, a 3.97 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.143 in 27 games this season.
- Jameson Taillon’s team has a record of 5-8 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Taillon has started, his team is 13-14.
- In games Taillon has started this season, the teams are 14-13-0 at hitting the over.
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Martínez
- The 34-year-old has an ERA of 3.22, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 41 games this season. Opponents have a .239 batting average against him.
- The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Martínez’s starts this season, and they went 3-5 in those games.
- Martínez’s team has compiled an 8-7 record in his 15 starts.
- Nick Martinez has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those matchups.
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Cubs’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 81-78 |
| Home | 42-36 |
| Road | 39-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-28 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 61-12 |
Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 76-83 |
| Home | 39-42 |
| Road | 37-41 |
| One-Run Games | 15-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-10 |
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